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Wednesday, November 11, 2026
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Sports · National

Thunder's Jared McCain projected to top 12.5 points in Portland

The SportsLine model simulates the matchup 10,000 times to predict the guard will score at least 13 points despite a recent shooting slump.

By Layla Richardson ·

Illustration for: Thunder's Jared McCain projected to top 12.5 points in Portland
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A projection model has simulated the Tuesday night matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Portland Trail Blazers 10,000 times. The system predicts Thunder guard Jared McCain will score more than 12.5 points. This specific prop bet is rated with a 3.5 out of 5 confidence level by the SportsLine Projection Model.

McCain averages 12.1 points per game this season. He recently emerged from a 1-for-22 stretch from three-point range. Over the weekend, he hit 5 of 12 shots from beyond the arc. He scored 19 points against the Washington Wizards and 21 points against the Memphis Grizzlies.

The model notes that McCain has exceeded his point total in eight of his last ten games when playing as a road favorite. Oklahoma City is a 2.5-point road favorite for the game. The total points line is set at 227.

The Thunder enter the game with an 8-2 record. They are coming off a four-game winning streak despite early season injuries. Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, and Jaylin Williams are among the notable absences for Oklahoma City. The Trail Blazers hold a 6-3 record but have lost their last two games. Ja Morant is out with a hamstring injury.

The SportsLine model has operated since 2018. It has returned nearly $19,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks. The system is on a 28-12 run for top-rated spread picks at NBA betting sites dating back to the previous season.

Tipoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET at the Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The model assigns the projection based on possession-by-possession simulations. The system indicates one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time in its calculations.

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